San Jose Earthquakes 3-5 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 20 Apr 2025 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes60%
Tofiko60% / 19% / 21%
- San Jose Earthquakes
- Draw
- Sporting Kansas City
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 60.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and San Jose Earthquakes won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting Kansas City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 4 Oct 2026.
San Jose Earthquakes: WDWWD
Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 4 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–0 |
| 2025-04-20 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City | 3–5 |
| 2025-03-02 | Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Sun, 20 Apr 2025 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.