San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose EarthquakesvsSporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City

San Jose Earthquakes 3-5 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 20 Apr 2025 02:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs San Jose Earthquakes60%

Tofiko60% / 19% / 21%
  • San Jose Earthquakes
  • Draw
  • Sporting Kansas City

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 60.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and San Jose Earthquakes won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Sporting Kansas City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 4 Oct 2026.

San Jose Earthquakes: WDWWD

Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 4 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-10Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes0–0
2025-04-20San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City3–5
2025-03-02Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City?
Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
Sun, 20 Apr 2025 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legSporting Kansas City 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes10 Apr 2026 →