Sporting Kansas Cityvs
San Jose EarthquakesSporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Stats
USA MLSFri, 10 Apr 2026 22:12 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Sporting Kansas City 0–0 San Jose Earthquakes
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes43%
- Sporting Kansas City 36%
- Draw 21%
- San Jose Earthquakes 43%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 43.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sporting Kansas City: LWLLW
San Jose Earthquakes: DLLWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–0 |
| 2025-04-20 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City | 3–5 |
| 2025-03-02 | Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Fri, 10 Apr 2026 22:12 GMT — USA MLS.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.