San Jose Earthquakesvs
Saint Louis CitySan Jose Earthquakes 1-3 Saint Louis City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 16 Aug 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes43%
Tofiko43% / 23% / 35%
Market45% / 24% / 31%
- San Jose Earthquakes
- Draw
- Saint Louis City
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 42.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and San Jose Earthquakes won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Saint Louis City's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
San Jose Earthquakes: WDWWD
Saint Louis City: WWWWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Saint Louis City | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Saint Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–3 |
| 2025-09-21 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Saint Louis City | 1–3 |
| 2025-05-31 | Saint Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Saint Louis City?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Saint Louis City kick off?
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs Saint Louis City head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.