Saint Louis Cityvs
San Jose EarthquakesSaint Louis City 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 31 May 2025 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Saint Louis City41%
- Saint Louis City 41%
- Draw 23%
- San Jose Earthquakes 36%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Saint Louis City, rating it at 41.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Saint Louis City won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Saint Louis City: DWDWD
San Jose Earthquakes: WDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Saint Louis City | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Saint Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–3 |
| 2025-09-21 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Saint Louis City | 1–3 |
| 2025-05-31 | Saint Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sat, 31 May 2025 18:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.