Seattle Sounders FCvs
San Jose EarthquakesSeattle Sounders FC 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 20 Jul 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Seattle Sounders FC57%
- Seattle Sounders FC 57%
- Draw 21%
- San Jose Earthquakes 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Seattle Sounders FC, rating it at 57.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Seattle Sounders FC won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Seattle Sounders FC: DLLLW
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLLD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Seattle Sounders FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 3–2 |
| 2025-07-20 | Seattle Sounders FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 3–2 |
| 2025-03-30 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders FC | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours Seattle Sounders FC (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Seattle Sounders FC vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sun, 20 Jul 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Seattle Sounders FC vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.