Seattle Sounders FCvs
Sporting Kansas CitySeattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerFri, 02 Oct 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Seattle Sounders FC67%
- Seattle Sounders FC 67%
- Draw 18%
- Sporting Kansas City 14%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Seattle Sounders FC, rating it at 67.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Seattle Sounders FC won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 67.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 18.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Seattle Sounders FC: LLLLL
Sporting Kansas City: LWLLW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 4.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City | 5–2 |
| 2025-07-13 | Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders FC | 2–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours Seattle Sounders FC (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Fri, 02 Oct 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.67 goals per game.