Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Seattle Sounders FCSporting Kansas City 2-3 Seattle Sounders FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 13 Jul 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Seattle Sounders FC52%
- Sporting Kansas City 26%
- Draw 21%
- Seattle Sounders FC 52%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Seattle Sounders FC, rating it at 52.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Sporting Kansas City: LLLDL
Seattle Sounders FC: DDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City | 5–2 |
| 2025-07-13 | Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders FC | 2–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Seattle Sounders FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders FC kick off?
- Sun, 13 Jul 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.67 goals per game.