Seattle Sounders FCvs
Saint Louis CitySeattle Sounders FC 4-1 Saint Louis City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 04 May 2025 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Seattle Sounders FC60%
- Seattle Sounders FC 60%
- Draw 21%
- Saint Louis City 18%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Seattle Sounders FC, rating it at 60.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Seattle Sounders FC won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Seattle Sounders FC: DLLLW
Saint Louis City: WDWDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Seattle Sounders FC vs Saint Louis City | 4–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Seattle Sounders FC vs Saint Louis City | 4–1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Saint Louis City vs Seattle Sounders FC | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs Saint Louis City?
- Tofiko's model favours Seattle Sounders FC (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Seattle Sounders FC vs Saint Louis City kick off?
- Sun, 04 May 2025 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Seattle Sounders FC vs Saint Louis City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.