Austin FCvs
Sporting Kansas CityAustin FC 1-0 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 23 Feb 2025 01:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Austin FC52%
Tofiko52% / 25% / 24%
- Austin FC
- Draw
- Sporting Kansas City
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Austin FC, rating it at 51.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Austin FC won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Sporting Kansas City's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Austin FC's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting Kansas City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
Austin FC: DDWDD
Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-07 | Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-23 | Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours Austin FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Sun, 23 Feb 2025 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.