Sporting Kansas City 3-3 New England Revolution — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 25 May 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New England Revolution38%
- Sporting Kansas City 38%
- Draw 24%
- New England Revolution 38%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New England Revolution, rating it at 38.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Sporting Kansas City did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Sporting Kansas City: DLLLW
New England Revolution: WLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 6.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-25 | Sporting Kansas City vs New England Revolution | 3–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs New England Revolution?
- Tofiko's model favours New England Revolution (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs New England Revolution kick off?
- Sun, 25 May 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs New England Revolution head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 6.00 goals per game.