Sporting Kansas Cityvs
New York City FCSporting Kansas City 1-1 New York City FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 20 Jul 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC51%
- Sporting Kansas City 26%
- Draw 23%
- New York City FC 51%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 51.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Sporting Kansas City did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Sporting Kansas City: DLLLW
New York City FC: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-20 | Sporting Kansas City vs New York City FC | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs New York City FC kick off?
- Sun, 20 Jul 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.