Sporting Kansas City 1-1 New York City FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 20 Jul 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC51%
- Sporting Kansas City
- Draw
- New York City FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 51.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Sporting Kansas City did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Sporting Kansas City's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. New York City FC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Sporting Kansas City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 4 Oct 2026.
Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL
New York City FC: DLWLD
Head-to-head
As of 4 Oct 2026.
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-20 | Sporting Kansas City vs New York City FC | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs New York City FC kick off?
- Sun, 20 Jul 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.