Portland Timbersvs
Sporting Kansas CityPortland Timbers 1-0 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 11 May 2025 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Portland Timbers55%
Tofiko55% / 23% / 22%
- Portland Timbers
- Draw
- Sporting Kansas City
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Portland Timbers, rating it at 54.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Portland Timbers won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting Kansas City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 2 Oct 2026.
Portland Timbers: LLLDW
Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City | 6–0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers | 2–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours Portland Timbers (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Sun, 11 May 2025 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.