Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas CityvsSaint Louis City crestSaint Louis City

Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Saint Louis City — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerThu, 20 Aug 2026 00:25 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Saint Louis City40%

Tofiko38% / 22% / 40%
Market24% / 23% / 53%
  • Sporting Kansas City
  • Draw
  • Saint Louis City

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Saint Louis City, rating it at 39.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Sporting Kansas City won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Sporting Kansas City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL

Saint Louis City: WWWWD

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.25Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-20Sporting Kansas City vs Saint Louis City1–1
2026-07-17Saint Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City3–2
2025-05-15Saint Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City2–2
2025-04-06Sporting Kansas City vs Saint Louis City2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Saint Louis City?
Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Saint Louis City kick off?
Thu, 20 Aug 2026 00:25 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Saint Louis City head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legSt. Louis City 3-2 Sporting Kansas City17 Jul 2026 →