Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Saint Louis CitySporting Kansas City vs Saint Louis City Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerThu, 20 Aug 2026 00:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Saint Louis City39%
- Sporting Kansas City 38%
- Draw 23%
- Saint Louis City 39%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Saint Louis City, rating it at 38.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sporting Kansas City: LWLLW
Saint Louis City: WWWWD
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Saint Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City | 3–2 |
| 2025-05-15 | Saint Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-06 | Sporting Kansas City vs Saint Louis City | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Saint Louis City?
- Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Saint Louis City kick off?
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 00:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Saint Louis City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.