Saint Louis Cityvs
Sporting Kansas CitySaint Louis City 3-2 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerFri, 17 Jul 2026 00:40 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Saint Louis City55%
- Saint Louis City 55%
- Draw 22%
- Sporting Kansas City 23%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Saint Louis City, rating it at 55.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Saint Louis City won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Saint Louis City: DWDWD
Sporting Kansas City: LLLDL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Sporting Kansas City vs Saint Louis City | 1–1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Saint Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City | 3–2 |
| 2025-05-15 | Saint Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-06 | Sporting Kansas City vs Saint Louis City | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Fri, 17 Jul 2026 00:40 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.