Saint Louis City 3-1 Nashville SC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 10 Aug 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC46%
- Saint Louis City 31%
- Draw 23%
- Nashville SC 46%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Nashville SC, rating it at 45.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Saint Louis City won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Saint Louis City: WDWDW
Nashville SC: WWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-10 | Saint Louis City vs Nashville SC | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs Nashville SC?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs Nashville SC kick off?
- Sun, 10 Aug 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.