Saint Louis Cityvs
Orlando CitySaint Louis City 2-4 Orlando City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Thu, 26 Jun 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City46%
- Saint Louis City 32%
- Draw 23%
- Orlando City 46%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 45.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Saint Louis City did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Saint Louis City: WDWDW
Orlando City: WLDDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 6.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-26 | Saint Louis City vs Orlando City | 2–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs Orlando City?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs Orlando City kick off?
- Thu, 26 Jun 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 6.00 goals per game.