Toronto FCvs
Chicago FireToronto FC 4-4 Chicago Fire — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire39%
Tofiko36% / 24% / 39%
Market35% / 25% / 41%
- Toronto FC
- Draw
- Chicago Fire
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 39.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Toronto FC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 7 Oct 2026.
Toronto FC: LLLWD
Chicago Fire: WLLDD
Head-to-head
As of 7 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-03-15 | Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.