Toronto FCvs
Columbus CrewToronto FC 1-1 Columbus Crew — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 16 Aug 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Toronto FC38%
- Toronto FC 38%
- Draw 26%
- Columbus Crew 36%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Toronto FC, rating it at 37.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Toronto FC won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 37.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Toronto FC: WDDWD
Columbus Crew: LWLLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
- Tofiko's model favours Toronto FC (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew kick off?
- Sat, 16 Aug 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.