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Columbus Crew crestColumbus CrewvsToronto FC crestToronto FC

Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 24 Oct 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Columbus Crew54%

  • Columbus Crew 54%
  • Draw 24%
  • Toronto FC 22%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Columbus Crew, rating it at 53.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Columbus Crew won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 62 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Columbus Crew: LLLDW

Toronto FC: WDWDL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 62 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-09-20Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC1–1
2025-08-16Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?
Tofiko's model favours Columbus Crew (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC kick off?
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 19:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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