Toronto FC crestToronto FCvsColumbus Crew crestColumbus Crew

Toronto FC 1-1 Columbus Crew — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 16 Aug 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Toronto FC38%

Tofiko38% / 26% / 36%
Market28% / 26% / 46%
  • Toronto FC
  • Draw
  • Columbus Crew

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Toronto FC, rating it at 37.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Toronto FC won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Toronto FC's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Columbus Crew's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Toronto FC: LLLWD

Columbus Crew: WWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-09-20Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC1–1
2025-08-16Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
Tofiko's model favours Toronto FC (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew kick off?
Sat, 16 Aug 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureColumbus Crew vs Toronto FC24 Oct 2026 →