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Inter Miami CF crestInter Miami CFvsToronto FC crestToronto FC

Inter Miami CF 1-2 Toronto FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Inter Miami CF70%

  • Inter Miami CF 70%
  • Draw 18%
  • Toronto FC 12%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Inter Miami CF, rating it at 69.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Inter Miami CF won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 69.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 18.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 24 Aug 2026.

Inter Miami CF: LDLLL

Toronto FC: WDWDL

Head-to-head

As of 24 Aug 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.25Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-22Inter Miami CF vs Toronto FC1–2
2026-05-09Toronto FC vs Inter Miami CF2–4
2025-09-27Toronto FC vs Inter Miami CF1–1
2025-04-06Inter Miami CF vs Toronto FC1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Inter Miami CF vs Toronto FC?
Tofiko's model favours Inter Miami CF (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Inter Miami CF vs Toronto FC kick off?
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Inter Miami CF vs Toronto FC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.

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