Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 29 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC39%
- Toronto FC 34%
- Draw 27%
- New York City FC 39%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 39.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Toronto FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Toronto FC: DLDDL
New York City FC: DWWLL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | New York City FC vs Toronto FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-07-03 | New York City FC vs Toronto FC | 3–1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Toronto FC vs New York City FC | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toronto FC vs New York City FC kick off?
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Toronto FC vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.