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Toronto FC crestToronto FCvsNew York City FC crestNew York City FC

Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSat, 29 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs New York City FC39%

Toronto FC 34%
Draw 27%
New York City FC 39%
  • Toronto FC 34%
  • Draw 27%
  • New York City FC 39%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 39.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Toronto FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Toronto FC: DLDDL

New York City FC: DWWLL

Head-to-head

  • 3Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-31New York City FC vs Toronto FC1–1
2025-07-03New York City FC vs Toronto FC3–1
2025-04-26Toronto FC vs New York City FC0–1

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FAQ

Who will win Toronto FC vs New York City FC?
Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Toronto FC vs New York City FC kick off?
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Toronto FC vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

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