Aston Villa F.C.vs
Burnley F.C.Aston Villa F.C. 2-1 Burnley F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 05 Oct 2025 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aston Villa F.C.66%
Tofiko66% / 21% / 13%
Market62% / 22% / 16%
- Aston Villa F.C.
- Draw
- Burnley F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 66.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 1 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
Aston Villa F.C.: WWLWD
Burnley F.C.: DLDLD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.38Avg goals
- 88%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Burnley F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2023-12-30 | Aston Villa vs Burnley | 3–2 |
| 2023-08-27 | Burnley vs Aston Villa | 1–3 |
| 2022-05-19 | Aston Villa vs Burnley | 1–1 |
| 2022-05-07 | Burnley vs Aston Villa | 1–3 |
| 2021-01-27 | Burnley vs Aston Villa | 3–2 |
| 2020-12-17 | Aston Villa vs Burnley | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 05 Oct 2025 13:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.38 goals per game.