Burnley F.C.vs
Aston Villa F.C.Burnley F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSun, 10 May 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Burnley F.C. 2–2 Aston Villa F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aston Villa F.C.56%
- Burnley F.C. 17%
- Draw 27%
- Aston Villa F.C. 56%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 55.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Burnley F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Burnley F.C.: DLLDL
Aston Villa F.C.: WLLWW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.38Avg goals
- 88%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Burnley F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2023-12-30 | Aston Villa vs Burnley | 3–2 |
| 2023-08-27 | Burnley vs Aston Villa | 1–3 |
| 2022-05-19 | Aston Villa vs Burnley | 1–1 |
| 2022-05-07 | Burnley vs Aston Villa | 1–3 |
| 2021-01-27 | Burnley vs Aston Villa | 3–2 |
| 2020-12-17 | Aston Villa vs Burnley | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Burnley F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 10 May 2026 13:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Burnley F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.38 goals per game.