Burnley F.C. 2-0 Leeds United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 18 Oct 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Leeds United F.C.40%
Tofiko36% / 24% / 40%
Market31% / 28% / 41%
- Burnley F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Leeds United F.C., rating it at 40.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Burnley F.C. won 1 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
Burnley F.C.: DLDLD
Leeds United F.C.: DWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.83Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Leeds United F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Burnley F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2022-01-02 | Leeds United vs Burnley | 3–1 |
| 2021-08-29 | Burnley vs Leeds United | 1–1 |
| 2021-05-15 | Burnley vs Leeds United | 0–4 |
| 2020-12-27 | Leeds United vs Burnley | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Leeds United F.C. (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Burnley F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 18 Oct 2025 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Burnley F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.