Burnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.vsLeeds United F.C. crestLeeds United F.C.

Burnley F.C. 2-0 Leeds United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 18 Oct 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Leeds United F.C.40%

Tofiko36% / 24% / 40%
Market31% / 28% / 41%
  • Burnley F.C.
  • Draw
  • Leeds United F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Leeds United F.C., rating it at 40.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Burnley F.C. won 1 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Burnley F.C.: DLDLD

Leeds United F.C.: DWLDD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.83Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-01Leeds United F.C. vs Burnley F.C.3–1
2025-10-18Burnley F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.2–0
2022-01-02Leeds United vs Burnley3–1
2021-08-29Burnley vs Leeds United1–1
2021-05-15Burnley vs Leeds United0–4
2020-12-27Leeds United vs Burnley1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Leeds United F.C. (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Burnley F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
Sat, 18 Oct 2025 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Burnley F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legLeeds 3-1 Burnley1 May 2026 →