Leeds United F.C.vs
Burnley F.C.Leeds United F.C. vs Burnley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueFri, 01 May 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Leeds United F.C. 3–1 Burnley F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Leeds United F.C.57%
- Leeds United F.C. 57%
- Draw 23%
- Burnley F.C. 20%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Leeds United F.C., rating it at 57.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Leeds United F.C. won 1 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Leeds United F.C.: WLLWD
Burnley F.C.: DLLDL
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 2.83Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Leeds United F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Burnley F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2022-01-02 | Leeds United vs Burnley | 3–1 |
| 2021-08-29 | Burnley vs Leeds United | 1–1 |
| 2021-05-15 | Burnley vs Leeds United | 0–4 |
| 2020-12-27 | Leeds United vs Burnley | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Leeds United F.C. (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Leeds United F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
- Fri, 01 May 2026 19:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Leeds United F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.