Sunderland A.F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Sunderland A.F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sunderland A.F.C.50%
- Sunderland A.F.C. 50%
- Draw 30%
- Leeds United F.C. 21%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sunderland A.F.C., rating it at 49.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sunderland A.F.C. won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Sunderland A.F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Leeds United F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Sunderland A.F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sunderland A.F.C.: LLWWW
Leeds United F.C.: WLLWD
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Sunderland A.F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2026-03-03 | Leeds United F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Sunderland A.F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sunderland A.F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Sunderland A.F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sunderland A.F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Sunderland A.F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.