Sunderland A.F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Sunderland A.F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 25 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Sunderland A.F.C. or draw79%
1X2: model backs Sunderland A.F.C. at 50% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Sunderland A.F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Sunderland A.F.C. or draw79%
- Draw or Leeds United F.C.50%
- Sunderland A.F.C. or Leeds United F.C.70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.547%
- Under 2.553%
Both teams to score
- Sunderland A.F.C., last 10 home games2 of 10
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Sunderland A.F.C., rating it at 49.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sunderland A.F.C. won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Sunderland A.F.C.: LLWLW
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Sunderland A.F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2026-03-03 | Leeds United F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Sunderland A.F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sunderland A.F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Sunderland A.F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sunderland A.F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Sunderland A.F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.