Manchester City F.C.vs
Burnley F.C.Manchester City F.C. 5-1 Burnley F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 27 Sep 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester City F.C.81%
Tofiko81% / 14% / 5%
Market82% / 12% / 6%
- Manchester City F.C.
- Draw
- Burnley F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 81.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Manchester City F.C. won 2 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Burnley F.C.: DLDLD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.13Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Burnley F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Manchester City F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 5–1 |
| 2024-01-31 | Manchester City vs Burnley | 3–1 |
| 2023-08-11 | Burnley vs Manchester City | 0–3 |
| 2022-04-02 | Burnley vs Manchester City | 0–2 |
| 2021-10-16 | Manchester City vs Burnley | 2–0 |
| 2021-02-03 | Burnley vs Manchester City | 0–2 |
| 2020-11-28 | Manchester City vs Burnley | 5–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Manchester City F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (81% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester City F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 27 Sep 2025 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester City F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.13 goals per game.