Estrela Amadoravs
F.C. AlvercaEstrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Estrela Amadora41%
- Estrela Amadora 41%
- Draw 28%
- F.C. Alverca 31%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Estrela Amadora, rating it at 40.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Estrela Amadora won 1 of 4, with 3 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Estrela Amadora: WDDWW
F.C. Alverca: DLDLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora | 0–1 |
| 2026-01-31 | F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca?
- Tofiko's model favours Estrela Amadora (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca kick off?
- Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.