?
F.C. Alverca crestF.C. AlvercavsEstrela Amadora crestEstrela Amadora

F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSat, 15 Aug 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs F.C. Alverca55%

F.C. Alverca 55%
Draw 26%
Estrela Amadora 18%
  • F.C. Alverca 55%
  • Draw 26%
  • Estrela Amadora 18%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Both model families pick F.C. Alverca, rating it at 55.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and F.C. Alverca won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

F.C. Alverca: WWWWL

Estrela Amadora: WWDWL

Head-to-head

  • 3Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-11F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora0–1
2026-01-31F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora1–1
2025-08-25Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora?
Tofiko's model favours F.C. Alverca (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
Sat, 15 Aug 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.