F.C. Alvercavs
Estrela AmadoraF.C. Alverca 2-2 Estrela Amadora — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSat, 15 Aug 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs F.C. Alverca49%
Tofiko49% / 26% / 26%
Market44% / 29% / 27%
- F.C. Alverca
- Draw
- Estrela Amadora
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick F.C. Alverca, rating it at 48.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and F.C. Alverca won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 21 Sep 2026.
F.C. Alverca: WWLDL
Estrela Amadora: LDWDW
Head-to-head
As of 21 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora | 0–1 |
| 2026-01-31 | F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora?
- Tofiko's model favours F.C. Alverca (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
- Sat, 15 Aug 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.