F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSat, 15 Aug 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs F.C. Alverca55%
- F.C. Alverca 55%
- Draw 26%
- Estrela Amadora 18%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick F.C. Alverca, rating it at 55.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and F.C. Alverca won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
F.C. Alverca: WWWWL
Estrela Amadora: WWDWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora | 0–1 |
| 2026-01-31 | F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora?
- Tofiko's model favours F.C. Alverca (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
- Sat, 15 Aug 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.