Estrela Amadora crestEstrela AmadoravsF.C. Alverca crestF.C. Alverca

Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Estrela Amadora41%

Tofiko41% / 28% / 31%
  • Estrela Amadora
  • Draw
  • F.C. Alverca

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Estrela Amadora, rating it at 40.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Estrela Amadora won 1 of 4, with 3 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 125 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Estrela Amadora: LDWDW

F.C. Alverca: WWLDL

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 125 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 4Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-15F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora2–2
2026-07-11F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora0–1
2026-01-31F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora1–1
2025-08-25Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca2–2

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FAQ

Who will win Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca?
Tofiko's model favours Estrela Amadora (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca kick off?
Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAlverca 2-2 Estrela15 Aug 2026 →