Estrela Amadoravs
F.C. AlvercaEstrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Estrela Amadora or draw69%
1X2: model backs Estrela Amadora at 41% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Estrela Amadora
- Draw
- F.C. Alverca
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Estrela Amadora or draw69%
- Draw or F.C. Alverca59%
- Estrela Amadora or F.C. Alverca72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.540%
- Under 2.560%
Both teams to score
- Estrela Amadora, last 10 home games6 of 10
- F.C. Alverca, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Estrela Amadora, rating it at 40.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Estrela Amadora won 1 of 4, with 3 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 105 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Estrela Amadora: LLDWD
F.C. Alverca: WWLDL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 105 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora | 0–1 |
| 2026-01-31 | F.C. Alverca vs Estrela Amadora | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca?
- Tofiko's model favours Estrela Amadora (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca kick off?
- Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs F.C. Alverca head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.