F.C. Alverca vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 25 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes37%
- F.C. Alverca
- Draw
- Vitoria Guimaraes
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- F.C. Alverca or draw63%
- Draw or Vitoria Guimaraes65%
- F.C. Alverca or Vitoria Guimaraes72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.543%
- Under 2.557%
Both teams to score
- F.C. Alverca, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 36.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and F.C. Alverca won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 195 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
F.C. Alverca: WWLDL
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 195 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs F.C. Alverca | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-28 | F.C. Alverca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win F.C. Alverca vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does F.C. Alverca vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
- Sun, 25 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the F.C. Alverca vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.