Vitoria Guimaraesvs
F.C. AlvercaVitoria Guimaraes vs F.C. Alverca Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes61%
- Vitoria Guimaraes 61%
- Draw 24%
- F.C. Alverca 15%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 61.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Vitoria Guimaraes: WDWWW
F.C. Alverca: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs F.C. Alverca | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-28 | F.C. Alverca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs F.C. Alverca?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs F.C. Alverca kick off?
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs F.C. Alverca head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.