Vitoria Guimaraesvs
F.C. AlvercaVitoria Guimaraes vs F.C. Alverca Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Vitoria Guimaraes to win61%
1X2: model backs Vitoria Guimaraes at 61%.
- Vitoria Guimaraes
- Draw
- F.C. Alverca
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Vitoria Guimaraes or draw85%
- Draw or F.C. Alverca39%
- Vitoria Guimaraes or F.C. Alverca76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.545%
- Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
- Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 home games4 of 10
- F.C. Alverca, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 61.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 62 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD
F.C. Alverca: WWLDL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 62 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs F.C. Alverca | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-28 | F.C. Alverca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs F.C. Alverca?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs F.C. Alverca kick off?
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs F.C. Alverca head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.