F.C. Alvercavs
CD NacionalF.C. Alverca vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 21 Feb 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
F.C. Alverca to win53%
1X2: model backs F.C. Alverca at 53%.
- F.C. Alverca
- Draw
- CD Nacional
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- F.C. Alverca or draw80%
- Draw or CD Nacional47%
- F.C. Alverca or CD Nacional73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.541%
- Under 2.559%
Both teams to score
- F.C. Alverca, last 10 home games5 of 10
- CD Nacional, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick F.C. Alverca, rating it at 53.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and F.C. Alverca won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 132 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
F.C. Alverca: WWLDL
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 132 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | CD Nacional vs F.C. Alverca | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | CD Nacional vs F.C. Alverca | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-07 | F.C. Alverca vs CD Nacional | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win F.C. Alverca vs CD Nacional?
- Tofiko's model favours F.C. Alverca (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does F.C. Alverca vs CD Nacional kick off?
- Sun, 21 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the F.C. Alverca vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.