CD Nacionalvs
F.C. AlvercaCD Nacional 1-3 F.C. Alverca — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs CD Nacional42%
- CD Nacional 42%
- Draw 26%
- F.C. Alverca 32%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick CD Nacional, rating it at 42.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and CD Nacional won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
CD Nacional: LLLLW
F.C. Alverca: WLDLD
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | CD Nacional vs F.C. Alverca | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | CD Nacional vs F.C. Alverca | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-07 | F.C. Alverca vs CD Nacional | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CD Nacional vs F.C. Alverca?
- Tofiko's model favours CD Nacional (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CD Nacional vs F.C. Alverca kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the CD Nacional vs F.C. Alverca head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.