CD Nacional crestCD NacionalvsF.C. Alverca crestF.C. Alverca

CD Nacional 1-3 F.C. Alverca — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs CD Nacional42%

Tofiko42% / 26% / 32%
Market34% / 28% / 38%
  • CD Nacional
  • Draw
  • F.C. Alverca

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick CD Nacional, rating it at 42.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and CD Nacional won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

CD Nacional: LLLLL

F.C. Alverca: WWLDL

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12CD Nacional vs F.C. Alverca1–3
2026-04-18CD Nacional vs F.C. Alverca1–0
2025-12-07F.C. Alverca vs CD Nacional1–0

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FAQ

Who will win CD Nacional vs F.C. Alverca?
Tofiko's model favours CD Nacional (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does CD Nacional vs F.C. Alverca kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the CD Nacional vs F.C. Alverca head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAlverca vs Nacional21 Feb 2027 →