F.C. Alverca crestF.C. AlvercavsC.D. Tondela crestC.D. Tondela

F.C. Alverca 1-0 C.D. Tondela — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaFri, 12 Sep 2025 19:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs F.C. Alverca49%

Tofiko49% / 24% / 26%
Market39% / 29% / 32%
  • F.C. Alverca
  • Draw
  • C.D. Tondela

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick F.C. Alverca, rating it at 49.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and F.C. Alverca won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026.

F.C. Alverca: WWLDL

C.D. Tondela: WWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-13C.D. Tondela vs F.C. Alverca1–1
2025-09-12F.C. Alverca vs C.D. Tondela1–0

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FAQ

Who will win F.C. Alverca vs C.D. Tondela?
Tofiko's model favours F.C. Alverca (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does F.C. Alverca vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 19:15 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the F.C. Alverca vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legTondela 1-1 Alverca13 Feb 2026 →