C.D. Tondelavs
F.C. AlvercaC.D. Tondela vs F.C. Alverca Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaFri, 13 Feb 2026 20:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: C.D. Tondela 1–1 F.C. Alverca
Tofiko prediction
Model backs C.D. Tondela41%
- C.D. Tondela 41%
- Draw 24%
- F.C. Alverca 35%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks C.D. Tondela, rating it at 40.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and C.D. Tondela won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
C.D. Tondela: LDLLW
F.C. Alverca: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | C.D. Tondela vs F.C. Alverca | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-12 | F.C. Alverca vs C.D. Tondela | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win C.D. Tondela vs F.C. Alverca?
- Tofiko's model favours C.D. Tondela (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does C.D. Tondela vs F.C. Alverca kick off?
- Fri, 13 Feb 2026 20:45 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the C.D. Tondela vs F.C. Alverca head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.