FC Arouca vs F.C. Alverca Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 14 Mar 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Arouca to win57%
1X2: model backs FC Arouca at 57%.
- FC Arouca
- Draw
- F.C. Alverca
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Arouca or draw82%
- Draw or F.C. Alverca43%
- FC Arouca or F.C. Alverca75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.548%
- Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
- FC Arouca, last 10 home games6 of 10
- F.C. Alverca, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 56.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Arouca won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 153 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Arouca: WDLDW
F.C. Alverca: WWLDL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 153 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | F.C. Alverca vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
| 2025-12-14 | FC Arouca vs F.C. Alverca | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Arouca vs F.C. Alverca?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Arouca vs F.C. Alverca kick off?
- Sun, 14 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Arouca vs F.C. Alverca head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.