FC Arouca crestFC AroucavsF.C. Alverca crestF.C. Alverca

FC Arouca vs F.C. Alverca Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 14 Mar 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Arouca to win57%

1X2: model backs FC Arouca at 57%.

Tofiko57% / 25% / 19%
  • FC Arouca
  • Draw
  • F.C. Alverca

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Arouca or draw82%
  • Draw or F.C. Alverca43%
  • FC Arouca or F.C. Alverca75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.548%
  • Under 2.552%

Both teams to score

  • FC Arouca, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • F.C. Alverca, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 56.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and FC Arouca won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 153 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Arouca: WDLDW

F.C. Alverca: WWLDL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 153 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-24F.C. Alverca vs FC Arouca2–1
2025-12-14FC Arouca vs F.C. Alverca1–0

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FAQ

Who will win FC Arouca vs F.C. Alverca?
Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Arouca vs F.C. Alverca kick off?
Sun, 14 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Arouca vs F.C. Alverca head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAlverca vs Arouca24 Oct 2026 →