F.C. Alvercavs
FC AroucaF.C. Alverca vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSat, 24 Oct 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
F.C. Alverca or draw70%
1X2: model backs F.C. Alverca at 42% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- F.C. Alverca
- Draw
- FC Arouca
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- F.C. Alverca or draw70%
- Draw or FC Arouca58%
- F.C. Alverca or FC Arouca73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.546%
- Under 2.554%
Both teams to score
- F.C. Alverca, last 10 home games5 of 10
- FC Arouca, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick F.C. Alverca, rating it at 42.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and F.C. Alverca won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 11 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 13 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
F.C. Alverca: WWLDL
FC Arouca: WDLDW
Head-to-head
As of 11 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 13 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | F.C. Alverca vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
| 2025-12-14 | FC Arouca vs F.C. Alverca | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win F.C. Alverca vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours F.C. Alverca (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does F.C. Alverca vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the F.C. Alverca vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.