FC Arouca crestFC AroucavsSL Benfica crestSL Benfica

FC Arouca vs SL Benfica Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 10 Jan 2027 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

SL Benfica to win72%

1X2: model backs SL Benfica at 72%.

Tofiko8% / 20% / 72%
  • FC Arouca
  • Draw
  • SL Benfica

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Arouca or draw28%
  • Draw or SL Benfica92%
  • FC Arouca or SL Benfica80%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.560%
  • Under 2.540%

Both teams to score

  • FC Arouca, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • SL Benfica, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 72.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Arouca won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 90 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Arouca: WDLDW

SL Benfica: WLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 90 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.30Avg goals
  • 20%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-14FC Arouca vs SL Benfica1–2
2025-10-25SL Benfica vs FC Arouca5–0
2025-04-13SL Benfica vs FC Arouca2–2
2024-12-01FC Arouca vs SL Benfica0–2
2024-05-12SL Benfica vs FC Arouca5–0
2024-01-06FC Arouca vs SL Benfica0–3
2023-01-31FC Arouca vs SL Benfica0–3
2022-08-05SL Benfica vs FC Arouca4–0
2022-01-21FC Arouca vs SL Benfica0–2
2021-08-14SL Benfica vs FC Arouca2–0

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FAQ

Who will win FC Arouca vs SL Benfica?
Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Arouca vs SL Benfica kick off?
Sun, 10 Jan 2027 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Arouca vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBenfica vs Arouca16 May 2027 →