SL Benficavs
FC AroucaSL Benfica vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 16 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
SL Benfica to win78%
1X2: model backs SL Benfica at 78%.
- SL Benfica
- Draw
- FC Arouca
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- SL Benfica or draw95%
- Draw or FC Arouca22%
- SL Benfica or FC Arouca83%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.567%
- Under 2.533%
Both teams to score
- SL Benfica, last 10 home games7 of 10
- FC Arouca, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 78.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SL Benfica won 9 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 216 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
SL Benfica: WLWWW
FC Arouca: WDLDW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 216 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | FC Arouca vs SL Benfica | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-25 | SL Benfica vs FC Arouca | 5–0 |
| 2025-04-13 | SL Benfica vs FC Arouca | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-01 | FC Arouca vs SL Benfica | 0–2 |
| 2024-05-12 | SL Benfica vs FC Arouca | 5–0 |
| 2024-01-06 | FC Arouca vs SL Benfica | 0–3 |
| 2023-01-31 | FC Arouca vs SL Benfica | 0–3 |
| 2022-08-05 | SL Benfica vs FC Arouca | 4–0 |
| 2022-01-21 | FC Arouca vs SL Benfica | 0–2 |
| 2021-08-14 | SL Benfica vs FC Arouca | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SL Benfica vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SL Benfica vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sun, 16 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the SL Benfica vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.