FC Aroucavs
Casa Pia ACFC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 20 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Arouca55%
- FC Arouca 55%
- Draw 26%
- Casa Pia AC 19%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 55.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and FC Arouca won 1 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Arouca: WLDDL
Casa Pia AC: LLWWD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 1.88Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-14 | FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC | 0–2 |
| 2025-05-04 | FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-20 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca | 3–1 |
| 2024-02-18 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-17 | FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC | 0–1 |
| 2023-02-25 | FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC | 2–0 |
| 2022-09-04 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC kick off?
- Sun, 20 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.88 goals per game.