FC Aroucavs
Casa Pia ACFC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 20 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Arouca to win55%
1X2: model backs FC Arouca at 55%.
- FC Arouca
- Draw
- Casa Pia AC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Arouca or draw81%
- Draw or Casa Pia AC45%
- FC Arouca or Casa Pia AC74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.544%
- Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
- FC Arouca, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Casa Pia AC, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 55.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and FC Arouca won 1 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 69 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Arouca: WDLDW
Casa Pia AC: LWLDL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 69 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 1.88Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-14 | FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC | 0–2 |
| 2025-05-04 | FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-20 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca | 3–1 |
| 2024-02-18 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-17 | FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC | 0–1 |
| 2023-02-25 | FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC | 2–0 |
| 2022-09-04 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC kick off?
- Sun, 20 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.88 goals per game.