Casa Pia ACvs
FC AroucaCasa Pia AC vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 02 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Casa Pia AC or draw69%
1X2: model backs Casa Pia AC at 42% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Casa Pia AC
- Draw
- FC Arouca
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Casa Pia AC or draw69%
- Draw or FC Arouca58%
- Casa Pia AC or FC Arouca72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.544%
- Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
- Casa Pia AC, last 10 home games3 of 10
- FC Arouca, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Casa Pia AC, rating it at 41.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Casa Pia AC won 5 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 202 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Casa Pia AC: LWLDL
FC Arouca: WDLDW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 202 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 1.88Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-14 | FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC | 0–2 |
| 2025-05-04 | FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-20 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca | 3–1 |
| 2024-02-18 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-17 | FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC | 0–1 |
| 2023-02-25 | FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC | 2–0 |
| 2022-09-04 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours Casa Pia AC (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sun, 02 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.88 goals per game.