Estrela Amadoravs
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 07 Mar 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Arouca or draw66%
1X2: model backs FC Arouca at 38% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Estrela Amadora
- Draw
- FC Arouca
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Estrela Amadora or draw62%
- Draw or FC Arouca66%
- Estrela Amadora or FC Arouca72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.544%
- Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
- Estrela Amadora, last 10 home games6 of 10
- FC Arouca, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 38.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and Estrela Amadora won 2 of 7, with 1 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 146 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Estrela Amadora: LLDWD
FC Arouca: WDLDW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 146 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 7Games
- 2.14Avg goals
- 43%Both scored
- 43%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora | 1–0 |
| 2026-04-19 | FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca | 3–1 |
| 2025-04-19 | FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-09 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
| 2024-05-05 | FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora | 0–0 |
| 2023-12-28 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca | 1–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sun, 07 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.14 goals per game.