Estrela Amadoravs
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 07 Mar 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Arouca38%
- Estrela Amadora
- Draw
- FC Arouca
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 38.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Estrela Amadora won 2 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Estrela Amadora's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. FC Arouca's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 166 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Estrela Amadora: LDWDW
FC Arouca: DLDWL
Head-to-head
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 166 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca | 3–1 |
| 2025-04-19 | FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-09 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
| 2024-05-05 | FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora | 0–0 |
| 2023-12-28 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca | 1–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sun, 07 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.