FC Aroucavs
FC PortoFC Arouca vs FC Porto Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 31 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Porto to win71%
1X2: model backs FC Porto at 71%.
- FC Arouca
- Draw
- FC Porto
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Arouca or draw29%
- Draw or FC Porto92%
- FC Arouca or FC Porto79%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Under 2.546%
Both teams to score
- FC Arouca, last 10 home games6 of 10
- FC Porto, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 70.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Arouca won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 11 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 112 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Arouca: WDLDW
FC Porto: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 112 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | FC Porto vs FC Arouca | 2–0 |
| 2026-02-27 | FC Porto vs FC Arouca | 3–1 |
| 2025-09-29 | FC Arouca vs FC Porto | 0–4 |
| 2025-03-01 | FC Arouca vs FC Porto | 0–2 |
| 2024-09-29 | FC Porto vs FC Arouca | 4–0 |
| 2024-02-12 | FC Arouca vs FC Porto | 3–2 |
| 2023-09-03 | FC Porto vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-08 | FC Arouca vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2022-12-28 | FC Porto vs FC Arouca | 5–1 |
| 2022-02-06 | FC Arouca vs FC Porto | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Arouca vs FC Porto?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Arouca vs FC Porto kick off?
- Sun, 31 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Arouca vs FC Porto head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.