FC Porto crestFC PortovsFC Arouca crestFC Arouca

FC Porto 2-0 FC Arouca — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 23 Aug 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Porto76%

Tofiko76% / 16% / 7%
Market77% / 15% / 8%
  • FC Porto
  • Draw
  • FC Arouca

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 76.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Porto won 8 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

FC Porto: WWLWW

FC Arouca: DLDWL

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 3.20Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-23FC Porto vs FC Arouca2–0
2026-02-27FC Porto vs FC Arouca3–1
2025-09-29FC Arouca vs FC Porto0–4
2025-03-01FC Arouca vs FC Porto0–2
2024-09-29FC Porto vs FC Arouca4–0
2024-02-12FC Arouca vs FC Porto3–2
2023-09-03FC Porto vs FC Arouca1–1
2023-05-08FC Arouca vs FC Porto0–1
2022-12-28FC Porto vs FC Arouca5–1
2022-02-06FC Arouca vs FC Porto0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Porto vs FC Arouca?
Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Porto vs FC Arouca kick off?
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 19:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Porto vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureArouca vs FC Porto31 Jan 2027 →