FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Arouca or draw74%
1X2: model backs FC Arouca at 47% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- FC Arouca
- Draw
- Gil Vicente FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Arouca or draw74%
- Draw or Gil Vicente FC53%
- FC Arouca or Gil Vicente FC73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.545%
- Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
- FC Arouca, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Gil Vicente FC, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 46.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Arouca won 4 of 10, with 6 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 210 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Arouca: WDLDW
Gil Vicente FC: WDLLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 210 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Gil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca | 1–3 |
| 2025-12-28 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-10 | Gil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-27 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-26 | Gil Vicente vs FC Arouca | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-16 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente | 3–0 |
| 2023-02-05 | Gil Vicente vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
| 2022-08-15 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-02 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente | 2–1 |
| 2021-11-05 | Gil Vicente vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente FC?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente FC kick off?
- Sun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 6 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.