Gil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 27 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Gil Vicente FC to win52%
1X2: model backs Gil Vicente FC at 52%.
- Gil Vicente FC
- Draw
- FC Arouca
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Gil Vicente FC or draw78%
- Draw or FC Arouca48%
- Gil Vicente FC or FC Arouca74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.545%
- Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
- Gil Vicente FC, last 10 home games5 of 10
- FC Arouca, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Gil Vicente FC, rating it at 52.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Gil Vicente FC won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 77 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Gil Vicente FC: WDLLD
FC Arouca: WDLDW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 77 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Gil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca | 1–3 |
| 2025-12-28 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-10 | Gil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-27 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-26 | Gil Vicente vs FC Arouca | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-16 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente | 3–0 |
| 2023-02-05 | Gil Vicente vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
| 2022-08-15 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-02 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente | 2–1 |
| 2021-11-05 | Gil Vicente vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Gil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours Gil Vicente FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Gil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sun, 27 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Gil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 6 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.