Gil Vicente FCvs
FC AroucaGil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Gil Vicente FC52%
- Gil Vicente FC 52%
- Draw 26%
- FC Arouca 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Gil Vicente FC, rating it at 52.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Gil Vicente FC won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 26.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Gil Vicente FC: WDWDL
FC Arouca: WLDDL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Gil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca | 1–3 |
| 2025-12-28 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-10 | Gil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-27 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-26 | Gil Vicente vs FC Arouca | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-16 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente | 3–0 |
| 2023-02-05 | Gil Vicente vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
| 2022-08-15 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-02 | FC Arouca vs Gil Vicente | 2–1 |
| 2021-11-05 | Gil Vicente vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Gil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours Gil Vicente FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Gil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Gil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 6 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.