FC Aroucavs
Vitoria GuimaraesFC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Arouca42%
- FC Arouca
- Draw
- Vitoria Guimaraes
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Arouca or draw69%
- Draw or Vitoria Guimaraes58%
- FC Arouca or Vitoria Guimaraes73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.546%
- Under 2.554%
Both teams to score
- FC Arouca, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC Arouca, rating it at 42.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Arouca won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 97 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Arouca: WDLDW
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 97 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 0–1 |
| 2026-02-07 | FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-12 | FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 |
| 2024-05-18 | FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–3 |
| 2024-01-15 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
| 2023-03-11 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 0–2 |
| 2022-09-18 | FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–2 |
| 2022-02-19 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
- Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.