FC Aroucavs
Vitoria GuimaraesFC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Arouca42%
- FC Arouca 42%
- Draw 27%
- Vitoria Guimaraes 31%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC Arouca, rating it at 42.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Arouca won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Arouca: WWLDD
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 0–1 |
| 2026-02-07 | FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-12 | FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 |
| 2024-05-18 | FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–3 |
| 2024-01-15 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
| 2023-03-11 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 0–2 |
| 2022-09-18 | FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–2 |
| 2022-02-19 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
- Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.