Vitoria Guimaraesvs
FC AroucaVitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSat, 08 Aug 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes56%
- Vitoria Guimaraes 56%
- Draw 25%
- FC Arouca 19%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 56.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Vitoria Guimaraes: WDWWW
FC Arouca: WLDDL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-12 | FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 |
| 2024-05-18 | FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–3 |
| 2024-01-15 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
| 2023-03-11 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 0–2 |
| 2022-09-18 | FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–2 |
| 2022-02-19 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca | 1–3 |
| 2021-09-18 | FC Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 17:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.