FC Aroucavs
MoreirenseFC Arouca 4-0 Moreirense — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 16 Aug 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Arouca47%
Tofiko47% / 25% / 28%
Market51% / 27% / 22%
- FC Arouca
- Draw
- Moreirense
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 46.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and FC Arouca won 3 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 21 Sep 2026.
FC Arouca: DLDWL
Moreirense: DWLLW
Head-to-head
As of 21 Sep 2026.
- 9Games
- 2.11Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 4–0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Moreirense vs FC Arouca | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-02 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 0–2 |
| 2025-01-24 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 1–0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Moreirense vs FC Arouca | 3–1 |
| 2024-03-17 | Moreirense vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-27 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 0–1 |
| 2022-02-26 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-25 | Moreirense vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Arouca vs Moreirense?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Arouca vs Moreirense kick off?
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 17:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Arouca vs Moreirense head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.11 goals per game.