Moreirensevs
FC AroucaMoreirense vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Moreirense48%
- Moreirense 48%
- Draw 27%
- FC Arouca 26%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Moreirense, rating it at 47.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Moreirense won 5 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Moreirense: WLDLW
FC Arouca: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 2.11Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 4–0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Moreirense vs FC Arouca | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-02 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 0–2 |
| 2025-01-24 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 1–0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Moreirense vs FC Arouca | 3–1 |
| 2024-03-17 | Moreirense vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-27 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 0–1 |
| 2022-02-26 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-25 | Moreirense vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Moreirense vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Moreirense vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Moreirense vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.11 goals per game.