Moreirense crestMoreirensevsFC Arouca crestFC Arouca

Moreirense vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Moreirense48%

Tofiko48% / 27% / 26%
  • Moreirense
  • Draw
  • FC Arouca

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Moreirense, rating it at 47.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and Moreirense won 5 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 125 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Moreirense: DWLLW

FC Arouca: DLDWL

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 125 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 9Games
  • 2.11Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-16FC Arouca vs Moreirense4–0
2026-03-21Moreirense vs FC Arouca0–1
2025-11-02FC Arouca vs Moreirense0–2
2025-01-24FC Arouca vs Moreirense1–0
2024-08-18Moreirense vs FC Arouca3–1
2024-03-17Moreirense vs FC Arouca1–0
2023-10-27FC Arouca vs Moreirense0–1
2022-02-26FC Arouca vs Moreirense1–1
2021-09-25Moreirense vs FC Arouca2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Moreirense vs FC Arouca?
Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Moreirense vs FC Arouca kick off?
Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Moreirense vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.11 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legArouca 4-0 Moreirense16 Aug 2026 →