Moreirensevs
FC AroucaMoreirense vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Moreirense or draw74%
1X2: model backs Moreirense at 48% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Moreirense
- Draw
- FC Arouca
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Moreirense or draw74%
- Draw or FC Arouca52%
- Moreirense or FC Arouca73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.545%
- Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
- Moreirense, last 10 home games6 of 10
- FC Arouca, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Moreirense, rating it at 47.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Moreirense won 5 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 105 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Moreirense: LDWLL
FC Arouca: WDLDW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 105 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 2.11Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 4–0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Moreirense vs FC Arouca | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-02 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 0–2 |
| 2025-01-24 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 1–0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Moreirense vs FC Arouca | 3–1 |
| 2024-03-17 | Moreirense vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-27 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 0–1 |
| 2022-02-26 | FC Arouca vs Moreirense | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-25 | Moreirense vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Moreirense vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Moreirense vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Moreirense vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.11 goals per game.