FC Aroucavs
C.D. Santa ClaraFC Arouca 1-2 C.D. Santa Clara — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 13 Sep 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Arouca45%
- FC Arouca 45%
- Draw 26%
- C.D. Santa Clara 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 45.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Arouca won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
FC Arouca: LDWLW
C.D. Santa Clara: WWDWW
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.20Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara | 1–2 |
| 2026-07-25 | C.D. Santa Clara vs FC Arouca | 3–0 |
| 2026-05-02 | FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-21 | C.D. Santa Clara vs FC Arouca | 0–0 |
| 2025-04-26 | C.D. Santa Clara vs FC Arouca | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-15 | FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-11 | FC Arouca vs CD Santa Clara | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-20 | CD Santa Clara vs FC Arouca | 1–2 |
| 2022-04-15 | FC Arouca vs CD Santa Clara | 1–1 |
| 2021-12-05 | CD Santa Clara vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 17:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.