FC Arouca crestFC AroucavsC.D. Santa Clara crestC.D. Santa Clara

FC Arouca 1-2 C.D. Santa Clara — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 13 Sep 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Arouca45%

  • FC Arouca 45%
  • Draw 26%
  • C.D. Santa Clara 29%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 45.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Arouca won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

FC Arouca: LDWLW

C.D. Santa Clara: WWDWW

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.20Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-13FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara1–2
2026-07-25C.D. Santa Clara vs FC Arouca3–0
2026-05-02FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara2–2
2025-12-21C.D. Santa Clara vs FC Arouca0–0
2025-04-26C.D. Santa Clara vs FC Arouca2–0
2024-12-15FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara1–0
2023-02-11FC Arouca vs CD Santa Clara1–0
2022-08-20CD Santa Clara vs FC Arouca1–2
2022-04-15FC Arouca vs CD Santa Clara1–1
2021-12-05CD Santa Clara vs FC Arouca2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara?
Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara kick off?
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 17:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureSanta Clara vs Arouca21 Feb 2027 →